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2024-12-14 00:51:48

CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.Monetary policy has turned to "moderate easing", and experts say that it is expected to make greater efforts to lower the RRR and cut interest rates. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 changed the orientation of monetary policy from "steady" to "moderate easing" next year. Experts said that under the orientation of "moderate easing", the monetary policy space was further opened. In terms of total amount, it is more reasonable and sufficient to maintain liquidity; In terms of price, appropriately reducing the financing cost will better reflect the effectiveness of monetary policy. Next year, even greater RRR cuts and interest rate cuts can be expected. In addition to lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates, experts said that structural monetary policy tools, buying government bonds, open market buyout reverse repurchase and other operations are expected to continue to expand the scale, increase the frequency of use, and continuously enhance the effectiveness and pertinence of monetary policy. (CSI)One case of pre-application for residential land in Fengtai District, Beijing, with an initial total price of 4.008 billion yuan. According to official website of Beijing Municipal Planning and Natural Resources Committee, one case of pre-application for residential land in Fengtai District, Beijing, with an initial total price of 4.008 billion yuan. This plot is plot No.056 [2024], namely plot FT00-2404-0005 of the reconstruction project of the cold storage in the southwest suburb of Fengtai District, Beijing, with a land area of 27,422.21 square meters and a planned construction area of 69,104 square meters. The pre-application for this plot will be accepted from December 9, 2024 to January 7, 2025.


Galaxy Securities: Pay attention to investment opportunities in the fields of cement, consumer building materials, glass fiber, etc. The Galaxy Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) Cement: the price continues to push up, and the northern region has entered the winter peak-shifting stage. In November, the weather gradually turned cold, and the downstream market demand dropped slightly. Most provinces in the north have entered the stage of winter peak-shifting and kiln-stopping, and the kiln-stopping rate is above 80%. Under the background of improving supply and demand in the industry, cement enterprises continue to push up cement prices. 2) Consumer building materials: The retail end continued to improve month on month. In October, the retail sales of building and decoration materials decreased by 5.8% year-on-year and increased by 4.9% quarter-on-quarter. Recently, with the stabilization of commercial housing sales, the demand for consumer building materials has improved. 3) Glass fiber: the price of roving rose slightly at the end of the month, and the price of electronic yarn was temporarily stable. In November, the demand for wind power yarn and thermoplastic yarn was stable, but the demand for traditional building materials was still under pressure, which led to the general demand for roving. There are resumption of production and new ignition production lines within the month, and the annual production capacity has increased; Near the end of the month, glass fiber enterprises issued a notice of re-pricing roving and products. It will take some time for the new price to land, but it will have a certain driving effect on demand and price in the short term. 4) Float glass: at the end of the year, work will continue to support the market demand and the inventory of enterprises will be improved. In November, work was rushed to support the demand of float glass terminal, but the middle and lower reaches mainly digested the previous inventory, and the purchasing enthusiasm declined. In the context of the contradiction between supply and demand in the industry, the production capacity has been significantly reduced, and the inventory pressure of float glass enterprises has improved. Suggested attention: Beixin Building Materials, CONCH, China Jushi, etc.Ministry of Finance of Korea: Korea's financial market is still facing uncertainty.Hyundai Motor: Parker will continue to be the CEO of Hyundai Motor's North American business.


Argentine President Millay: It will take four years to close the central bank. According to the video released by the media Infobae on Tuesday, Argentine President Millay said that it will take four years to close the country's central bank. Millay predicts that the economy will grow and inflation will fall next year. When asked about the possibility of closing the Argentine central bank in 2025, he said, "We don't have time. I have always said that it will take four years, and I have only been in power for one year. "Sarah Friar, CFO of OpenAI: Corporate customers will pay (at least) thousands of dollars for using artificial intelligence (AI) tools. In the end, it will be reasonable.13 shares registered today, Hengxuan Technology, Xiamen Bank and Deshi shares have the strongest dividends. According to the statistics of the equity distribution plan of listed companies, 13 A shares registered today. Among them, 13 shares intend to pay dividends. In terms of dividends, 13 stocks paid dividends in date of record on December 11th. Hengxuan Technology, Xiamen Bank and Deshi Co., Ltd. have the strongest dividends, with dividends of 7.60 yuan for every 10 shares, 1.5 yuan and 1.2 yuan respectively. In addition, there are 5 shares that have thrown out dividend payout plans, among which Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, Taotao Auto Industry and Hite Bio have the strongest dividend payout, with dividends of 12.3 yuan for every 10 shares, 5 yuan and 1.3 yuan respectively.

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